Welcoming Uptober: the Optimal Period for the Crypto Market

BTC/USD

Key zone: 117,500 - 121,500

Buy: 121,500 (on a pullback after a correction to 118,500); target 123500-125,00; StopLoss 120,500

Sell: 117,500 (on strong negative fundamentals) ; target 115,000-113,500; StopLoss 118,500

The cryptocurrency market is an extremely volatile realm, but the fact that Bitcoin tends to rise in October and pulls other cryptocurrencies along has become a tradition.

The meme Uptober emerged as an attempt to describe the phenomenally successful month of October for BTC and other tokens and quickly spread beyond professional chats. Uptober has turned into an annual ritual of profit anticipation: every year at the beginning of October, feeds are filled with announcements and trading ideas about the upcoming “bull market.”

The first Uptober occurred in 2013 – BTC rose 60%, but in 2014 the token fell almost 13% in October. Subsequently, Bitcoin showed a negative result only once – in 2018, while the following six years demonstrated solid growth: 2015 – 33.5%, 2017 – 47.8%, 2020 – 27.7%, 2021 – 39.9%, 2023 – 28.5%.

Why Crypto Rises in October

Market psychology gives the answer. Traditionally, in September, when investors take profits for 3 and 9 months, the market declines, and October is perceived as a new starting point. Traders and holders wait for a reversal before year-end, so every fundamental factor is interpreted in favor of buying, and any positive momentum is amplified by the herd effect.

October coincides with the start of the corporate reporting season in the U.S., significantly affecting risk appetite. Institutional investors also begin to restructure portfolios in anticipation of the year-end rally and annual bonuses. Macro factors, such as Fed meetings and other central banks’ decisions, generate additional optimism. Together, this makes October a convenient entry point.

Moreover, Uptober has long been a part of crypto culture: for many, posting on social media with the #Uptober tag is a tradition and a symbol of collective celebration. Traders share charts, holders post memes, and analysts ride the wave of optimism.

Uptober becomes a kind of sentiment indicator – the more actively the community discusses it, the stronger the belief in upcoming growth.

This is an example of how statistics, psychology, and culture create a favorable market symbiosis. Of course, the October rally is based on serious fundamental factors, and the enthusiasm of the crypto community produces the Rosenthal effect – turning collective desire into a self-fulfilling prophecy.

Apparently, the upcoming Uptober-2025 also has every chance to bring solid profit. But only if we approach the market carefully and respectfully.

So we act wisely and avoid unnecessary risks.

Profits to y’all!